Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.122052 0.134927 0.148141 0.162689 0.178224 0.194289 0.212129
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.106473 0.126513 0.148100 0.172947 0.200625 0.230378 0.264648
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.094899 0.120091 0.148372 0.182149 0.221064 0.264177 0.315229
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.081927 0.110020 0.142791 0.183249 0.231259 0.285836 0.351976
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.069449 0.098865 0.134472 0.179821 0.235112 0.299432 0.378982
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.063789 0.095317 0.134651 0.186008 0.249960 0.325686 0.420794
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.058255 0.091230 0.133575 0.190165 0.262014 0.348463 0.458542
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.052913 0.086789 0.131532 0.192664 0.271704 0.368225 0.492681
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.047692 0.081959 0.128500 0.193474 0.278960 0.384826 0.522946
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.047299 0.083894 0.134537 0.206249 0.301677 0.420927 0.577681
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043699 0.080774 0.133335 0.209124 0.311427 0.440713 0.612245
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040918 0.078612 0.133261 0.213368 0.322896 0.462707 0.649731
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.036943 0.074470 0.130390 0.214008 0.330097 0.480044 0.682564
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035846 0.074866 0.134185 0.224160 0.350436 0.514897 0.738511
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034799 0.075236 0.137910 0.234273 0.370903 0.550238 0.795599
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031645 0.071711 0.135445 0.235215 0.378584 0.568668 0.830837
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027651 0.066293 0.129672 0.230974 0.378785 0.577007 0.852875
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026493 0.065861 0.131696 0.238301 0.395321 0.607365 0.904091
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.024945 0.064541 0.132174 0.243232 0.408464 0.633250 0.949627
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.023154 0.062566 0.131431 0.246199 0.418756 0.655317 0.990262
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.021164 0.059976 0.129483 0.247159 0.426065 0.673309 1.025562
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.021718 0.062621 0.136522 0.262339 0.454376 0.720515 1.100516
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.020307 0.061024 0.136149 0.265749 0.465378 0.743863 1.143500